Product Keynote: Sphere

While the crypto industry celebrates stablecoins as revolutionary financial technology, one B2B payments company is sounding the alarm about what happens when dollar-based digital assets flood into economies that aren't ready for them. At Breakpoint 2025, Sphere CEO and co-founder Arnold Lee delivered a thought-provoking keynote that challenged the industry to think beyond the benefits of stablecoins and consider their potential to destabilize entire nations.

Summary

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Sphere, a B2B cross-border payments company that processes billions of dollars and got its start on Solana in 2022, has gained unique insight into how stablecoins are reshaping global finance. The company specializes in moving money between countries faster and cheaper than traditional methods, with KYC processes that can be completed in mere seconds. Their client base spans from early-stage startups to major governments and financial institutions.

Lee used an allegorical tale about "Antarctica"—a stand-in for emerging market economies—to illustrate the existential threat that rapid stablecoin adoption poses to sovereign currencies. The fictional country experienced a familiar pattern: a sovereign debt crisis in the 1990s, followed by foreign investment that outpaced infrastructure development, leading to capital controls. When stablecoins arrived, offering easy access to dollars, the local "fish bone" currency became essentially worthless.

The presentation highlighted a critical tension in the stablecoin narrative. While these digital dollars offer undeniable benefits—instant transfers, dollar exposure, and interoperability—they can fundamentally undermine a nation's ability to pay its workers, fund public services, and maintain economic sovereignty. Countries without established dollar economies or strong institutions face the greatest risks from what Lee described as "violent transitions."

The keynote concluded with a call to action for the industry to focus on responsible innovation, helping governments and regulators harness stablecoin benefits without risking societal collapse. Lee emphasized that stablecoins themselves aren't the problem—but the speed and manner of their adoption can be catastrophic.

Key Points:

Sphere's Position in the Stablecoin Ecosystem

Sphere has established itself as a significant player in cross-border payments, processing billions of dollars through its infrastructure. Founded on Solana in 2022—a time when building a stablecoin company was "widely considered a bad idea"—the company has weathered significant challenges, including the USDC de-peg during the regional banking crisis. Their lightning-fast onboarding process, demonstrated live during the presentation, showcases their technical capabilities in streamlining payment infrastructure.

The company services primarily emerging markets across various business types, from mom-and-pop shops to some of the world's largest governments, financial institutions, and trade houses. This diverse client base has given Sphere a unique vantage point to observe how stablecoin adoption affects economies at every level.

The Hidden Cost of Dollarization Through Stablecoins

Lee's Antarctic allegory revealed a sobering reality about stablecoin adoption in developing economies. When citizens gain easy access to dollar-denominated stablecoins, they naturally prefer holding and transacting in this more stable currency rather than volatile local currencies subject to inflation and capital controls. This creates a dangerous feedback loop where demand for local currency plummets.

The consequences extend far beyond individual financial decisions. Governments that pay workers in local currency find that these wages become increasingly worthless as the population shifts to dollars. Teachers, police officers, military personnel, and government officials face declining real purchasing power. This undermines the fundamental social contract and can lead to civil unrest, brain drain, and institutional collapse.

Different Economies, Different Vulnerabilities

Lee outlined a taxonomy of economies and their vulnerability to stablecoin disruption. Countries already dollarized—like Panama, Costa Rica, Singapore, and Hong Kong—have adapted their systems to dollar-based transactions. Nations with strong institutional frameworks can manage the transition more gracefully. But emerging markets without these advantages face the greatest risks.

The presentation specifically cited Brazil as an example of what happens when dollar access comes too quickly to an unprepared economy. The mismatch between what people earn in local currency and what they want to spend in creates economic instability that compounds existing challenges.

The Case for Responsible Innovation

Rather than rejecting stablecoins, Lee advocated for a more measured approach to their deployment. Sphere's mission has evolved to include helping governments, regulators, and financial institutions navigate this transition responsibly. The goal is to capture the genuine benefits of stablecoin technology—speed, cost savings, interoperability—without triggering economic collapse.

The question of whether the world will eventually converge on a single currency remains open. However, Lee argued that however that transition unfolds, it must happen at a pace that allows institutions to adapt and citizens to be protected. Violent economic transitions, regardless of the underlying technology, cause real human suffering.

Facts + Figures

• Sphere processes billions of dollars in cross-border payments annually

• The company was founded on Solana in 2022

• Sphere's KYC and off-ramp process can be completed within the duration of a single presentation slide (approximately 30-60 seconds)

• By 2030, stablecoins are estimated to become the world's default method of moving money

• Sphere services businesses ranging from early-stage startups to major governments, financial institutions, and trade houses

• The company specializes in emerging market transactions

• Starting a stablecoin company in 2022 was "widely considered a bad idea" at the time

• USDC de-pegged during the regional banking crisis, which actually helped validate Sphere's business model

• Brazil was cited as an example of an economy affected by rapid dollar access

Top quotes

• "By 2030, they're estimated to be the world's default way of moving money."

• "It unfortunately is a tragedy, but it's a beautiful one. And it's about everyone's favorite topics, stablecoins."

• "If you have really easy access to dollars through stablecoins, why do you need the old fish bones at all? And it turns out that you kind of don't."

• "Stablecoins themselves are not the problem, but violent transitions are."

• "It's incumbent on us as an industry to think about what are the ways where we can deliver innovation responsibly."

• "There's a mismatch in what people are earning and ultimately what they want to spend in."

• "When we first started Sphere back in '22, it was like widely considered a bad idea to make a stablecoin company."

• "What we think about most of the working days of Sphere is how do we deliver help governments, regulators, financial institutions to get this responsible innovation."

Questions Answered

What does Sphere do?

Sphere is a B2B cross-border payments company that helps businesses move money from one country to another faster and more cheaply than traditional methods. The company specializes in emerging markets and processes billions of dollars annually. Founded on Solana in 2022, Sphere has developed extremely efficient onboarding processes, with KYC verification that can be completed in under a minute. Their client base ranges from small startups to major governments and financial institutions.

Why could stablecoins be dangerous for emerging economies?

Stablecoins provide easy access to dollars, the world's reserve currency, which sounds beneficial but can devastate economies that rely on local currencies. When citizens prefer holding and transacting in stablecoins rather than local currency, demand for that local currency collapses. This means government workers—teachers, police, military personnel—who are paid in local currency see their purchasing power evaporate. The government loses control of monetary policy, and the fundamental ability to fund public services becomes compromised.

What types of economies are most vulnerable to stablecoin disruption?

Economies without existing dollar adoption or strong institutions face the greatest risks. Countries like Panama, Costa Rica, Singapore, and Hong Kong already operate with significant dollar exposure and have adapted accordingly. Nations with robust regulatory and financial frameworks can manage transitions more smoothly. However, emerging markets without these safeguards—like many in Latin America, Africa, and Southeast Asia—can experience what Lee calls "violent transitions" that cause real economic harm.

What is Sphere doing to address these concerns?

Sphere has evolved its mission to include helping governments, regulators, and financial institutions harness the benefits of stablecoin technology while avoiding catastrophic economic consequences. The company leverages its unique position—working with everyone from small businesses to major governments—to understand the full spectrum of stablecoin impacts. They advocate for responsible innovation that allows economies to capture efficiency gains from stablecoins without risking institutional collapse.

What will the stablecoin market look like by 2030?

According to industry estimates cited by Lee, stablecoins are projected to become the world's default method of moving money by 2030. This rapid growth trajectory underscores both the technology's potential and the urgency of addressing its risks. The industry must determine whether and how to facilitate this transition in a way that doesn't leave vulnerable economies behind or trigger destabilizing currency crises in emerging markets.